ESSL Seminar: Forecasting Severe Convection I

ESSL Seminar: Forecasting Severe Convection I

1 – 5 Oct 2018 / Wiener Neustadt, Austria

This seminar given by Dr. Tomáš Púčik consists of lectures and hand-on forecasting exercises. Basic concepts of (severe) convection forecasting are introduced with an emphasis on the ingredients-based methodology.

For each ingredient the importance for convection will be presented, along with its diagnosis and prognosis. After the basic ingredients, to the seminar looks at vertical wind shear, especially on its influence on the different organisational forms of convection (single cells, multi-cells, supercells etc.).

The seminar will also look at a basic conceptual model of storm types and relate it to the potential for severe weather. Then it concentrates on the synoptic and mesoscale patterns that are supportive of severe convection and negative factors that may degrade the severe convection risk.

The afternoon exercises will involve forecasting convection either in real-time, or using the past cases, for different parts of Europe. After the forecast, there will be a discussion with an emphasis on the subject that was studied during the morning.

At the end of the week, participants may choose to take part in an exam. Participants that pass this exam receive a Testimonial.

Register via the ESSL website.